Reform UK has been handed a major boost, as a new MRP poll for GB News suggests that the party is on course to win 18 seats at the General Election.
A large scale survey conducted by Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now shows that the Labour Party would win a landslide victory, taking 450 seats.
This would give Sir Keir Starmer a 250 seat majority - bigger than Tony Blair's majority after the 1997 landslide victory which saw the party win 419 seats.
It would be the largest win by any party in modern parliamentary history, except for 1931.
Reform UK has been handed a major boost, as a new MRP poll for GB News suggests that the party is on course to win 18 seats at the General Election
PA
The Liberal Democrats would overtake the Tories to form the official opposition, with 71 seats, while the Conservatives would be reduced to just 60.
This would be the Tories' would be their worst result since at least 1900.
The Reform party will win around 18 seats, the poll suggests, including those of Nigel Farage, Richard Tice and Lee Anderson.
The survey suggests that as many as twenty-two Conservative Cabinet Members are likely to lose their seats, including Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, Oliver Dowden, Grant Shapps, Penny Mordaunt, Kemi Badenoch, Claire Coutinho, Mel Stride, Richard Holden, Chris Heaton-Harris, David Davies, Victoria Prentis, Esther McVey and Andrew Mitchell - who would all lose their seats to Labour.
While Jeremy Hunt, Alex Chalk, Michelle Donelan, Gillian Keegan, John Glen would lose their seats to the Lib Dems.
Martin Baxter, founder of Electoral Calculus, said the result would be a "disaster" for the Tories. But he warned that Labour's victory does not suggest mass enthusiasm for the party.
He said: "The Conservatives are predicted to be in third place in terms of both votes and seats. That would be a disaster for them. Labour look set for a massive landslide, but with about one million fewer votes than Jeremy Corbyn got in 2017.
"More than one voter in every three is going to vote for a party other than Labour or the Tories, which shows many people want change but are not thrilled by Labour."
Tyron Surmon, Head of Research at Find Out Now, added: "These results speak for themselves. It is true that there exist a range of predictions and things can change between now and election day.
"However, when the 'realistic bad' scenario includes the Prime Minister losing his seat, the Conservatives being on-par with Reform, and the Liberal Democrats gaining Official Opposition status, this gives an impression of the position that the Conservative Party is currently in."
Fieldwork was conducted from 14 June to 24 June 2024, with a sample size of over 19,000 people.
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